EdgeLine NFL
PICK RECEIPT • ✕ EDGELINE PICK LOST

Seattle @ Arizona Result & Pick Recap

This game is complete. This historical recap preserves EdgeLine's pregame recommendation, locked line, final score and graded result. It is not a current prediction.

OFFICIAL RECOMMENDATIONEdgeLine’s best available spread is ARI +4.5 because our fair-line model sees approximately a 3.5-point advantage versus the current sportsbook spread. The market has also moved 3.0 points toward EdgeLine's position, adding confirmation. The edge is large enough to qualify as a Play, but not a Strong play.

Play means the model sees a meaningful betting edge, but the setup does not currently satisfy EdgeLine’s stricter Strong criteria.

Official PlayARI +4.5
Bet TypeSPREAD
Model Edge+3.5
Cover probability61.8%Clear estimated advantage
Line Value+3
Market SpreadNot recorded
Fair Spread+1
Market Total—
Fair Total—
Travel – Spread+0.3
Travel – Total0
Surface – SpreadNot recorded
Surface – TotalNot recorded
INPUTS & TIMINGWhat this analysis used

Sportsbook market line, EdgeLine team ratings, injury and quarterback context, home field and matchup adjustments. The figures above are model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

Latest model snapshot: Sep 15, 11:28 AM EDT. Official pick locked: Sep 15, 11:28 AM EDT. Model version: 4.0.0.

Read the methodology · Download completed pick history

KEY PICK FACTORS

• Fair-line value: EdgeLine identifies a 3.5-point advantage versus the sportsbook line.

• Home/away: ARI is home and SEA is away; the model includes a 1.7-point home-field adjustment.

• Injuries: No material injury adjustment is currently applied; check the live report for player-level availability.

• Travel/rest: The travel model adjusts this spread by +0.3 points.

Explore NFL Analytics · See Model Methodology

Referee crew analytics

Confirmed assignment pending; no referee adjustment applied.

Crew penalty profiles and test results. Capped prediction input from Week 8 of 2026; an accuracy gain has not been established.

TEAM HUBSFollow both teams beyond this matchup

Seattle analytics · Arizona analytics

TRAVEL & REST ANALYSISRoad travel: SEA 1,105 mi / ARI 12 mi to ARI home venue; approximately 1 time zone from the away-team base. Model adjustment: spread +0.3 pts, total 0.0 pts.

Travel adjustments are capped inputs to the fair line. They do not replace team efficiency, injuries, player tendencies or market information.

Verified Performance

LINE LOCKED
Locked PickARI +4.5
Locked Line+4.5
Game WinnerSEA
EdgeLine Result✕ EDGELINE PICK LOST
Closing Line+4
CLV+0.5
Units-1.000

Locked automatically 9/15/2026, 10:28:23 AM CT. Final score: SEA 31 - ARI 7.

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Verified Performance History

PUBLIC RECORD
MatchupPickResultUnitsCLV
Dallas @ PhiladelphiaPHI +4.5LOSS-1.000PK
Dallas @ Green BayUnder 53.5WIN+0.909-1
Baltimore @ ClevelandOver 41LOSS-1.000-1.5
Carolina @ PhiladelphiaPHI +3.5LOSS-1.000+0.5
LA Chargers @ Kansas CityOver 42LOSS-1.000-0.5
Arizona @ LA RamsUnder 51.5WIN+0.909PK
New Orleans @ NY GiantsNYG +0.5LOSS-1.000-1
Seattle @ DenverOver 40.5LOSS-1.000PK
CURRENT NFL MATCHUPSThis game is complete — continue with the current slate

Minnesota @ Detroit prediction · Arizona @ Dallas prediction · Atlanta @ Tampa Bay prediction · Las Vegas @ NY Jets prediction · Indianapolis @ Jacksonville prediction · Cleveland @ Pittsburgh prediction

View all current NFL picks and predictions

Pick receipt published: 9/20/2026, 6:35:55 PM CT

RELATED PUBLIC RESEARCHAudit the method behind this matchup

NFL model methodology · Free team gradings · Model performance study · Completed results

Simulate this game · FreeView Live BoardVerified Results
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