EdgeLine NFL
Play • OFFICIAL PICK LOCKED

Pittsburgh @ New England

This pick receipt preserves the original recommendation, locked line and model edge used for grading. Later market movement does not rewrite the official record.

OFFICIAL RECOMMENDATIONEdgeLine likes PIT +5.5 because our fair-line model sees approximately a 4.0-point advantage versus the current sportsbook spread. However, the market has moved 0.5 points away from EdgeLine's position, so confidence is reduced. The model edge is large, but adverse market movement keeps the recommendation at Play rather than Strong.

Play means the model sees a meaningful betting edge, but the setup does not currently satisfy EdgeLine’s stricter Strong criteria.

Recommended PlayPIT +5.5
Bet TypeSPREAD
Model Edge+4
Model Confidence Score62/100
Line Value-0.5
Market Spread-5.5
Fair Spread+1.5
Market Total42
Fair Total44.5
Travel – Spread0
Travel – Total0
KEY PICK FACTORS

• Fair-line value: EdgeLine identifies a 4.0-point advantage versus the sportsbook line.

• Home/away: NE is home and PIT is away; the model includes a 1.7-point home-field adjustment.

• Injuries: No material injury adjustment is currently applied; check the live report for player-level availability.

View Injury Report · See Model Methodology

Verified Performance

LINE LOCKED
Locked PickPIT +5.5
Locked Line+5.5
Closing LinePending
CLVPending
ResultPENDING
UnitsPending

Locked automatically 9/15/2026, 7:12:26 AM CT. Result and CLV populate from finalized game and market data.

Verified Performance History

PUBLIC RECORD
MatchupPickResultUnitsCLV
New England @ SeattleOver 44.5LOSS-1.000PK
Chicago @ CarolinaUnder 47.5LOSS-1.000+0.5
Dallas @ NY GiantsNYG +3WIN+0.909PK
Baltimore @ IndianapolisUnder 48LOSS-1.000-0.5
Buffalo @ HoustonHOU +1.5LOSS-1.000PK
Cleveland @ JacksonvilleCLE +8LOSS-1.000-0.5
Denver @ Kansas CityKC -2.5WIN+0.909-0.5
New Orleans @ DetroitUnder 50LOSS-1.000+0.5

Model snapshot: 9/15/2026, 8:55:26 AM CT

View Live BoardVerified Results
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For informational and entertainment purposes only. No wager is guaranteed.