EdgeLine NFL
Play • OFFICIAL PICK LOCKED

Philadelphia @ Tennessee

This pick receipt preserves the original recommendation, locked line and model edge used for grading. Later market movement does not rewrite the official record.

OFFICIAL RECOMMENDATIONEdgeLine likes Over 39.5 because our model projects approximately 45 total points — 5.5 points above the locked recommendation line. However, the market has moved 2.5 points away from EdgeLine's position, so confidence is reduced. The model edge is large, but adverse market movement keeps the recommendation at Play rather than Strong.

Play means the model sees a meaningful betting edge, but the setup does not currently satisfy EdgeLine’s stricter Strong criteria.

Recommended PlayOver 39.5
Bet TypeTOTAL
Model Edge+5.5
Model Confidence Score64/100
Line Value-2.5
Market Spread+7
Fair Spread+3.5
Market Total39.5
Fair Total45
Travel – Spread0
Travel – Total0
KEY PICK FACTORS

• Fair-line value: EdgeLine identifies a 5.5-point advantage versus the sportsbook line.

• Home/away: TEN is home and PHI is away; the model includes a 1.7-point home-field adjustment.

• Injuries: No material injury adjustment is currently applied; check the live report for player-level availability.

View Injury Report · See Model Methodology

Verified Performance

LINE LOCKED
Locked PickOver 39.5
Locked Line39.5
Closing LinePending
CLVPending
ResultPENDING
UnitsPending

Locked automatically 9/15/2026, 7:12:26 AM CT. Result and CLV populate from finalized game and market data.

Verified Performance History

PUBLIC RECORD
MatchupPickResultUnitsCLV
New England @ SeattleOver 44.5LOSS-1.000PK
Green Bay @ MinnesotaMIN -1.5WIN+0.909+1
Buffalo @ HoustonHOU +1.5LOSS-1.000PK
Denver @ Kansas CityKC -2.5WIN+0.909-0.5
NY Jets @ TennesseeOver 39.5LOSS-1.000PK
San Francisco @ LA RamsUnder 48.5WIN+0.909—
Tampa Bay @ CincinnatiUnder 50.5LOSS-1.000PK
Atlanta @ PittsburghOver 42LOSS-1.000-1.5

Model snapshot: 9/15/2026, 8:55:26 AM CT

View Live BoardVerified Results
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For informational and entertainment purposes only. No wager is guaranteed.