1
Denver @ Kansas City
StrongOver 43.5
9-point model edge. Market movement: 0.5 points toward the model position.
Spread: -2.5 / fair -4Total: +43.5 / fair +52.5Edge: +9
View full Denver @ Kansas City analysis →2026 NFL WEEK 1 • LIVE FAIR-LINE ANALYSIS
NFL Week 1 picks,
lines and model edges
Every Week 1 matchup ranked by EdgeLine’s independent fair-line model. Lines and classifications update as the market moves.
17 matchupsLive spread + total movementTransparent model confidence
2
Over 44.5
8-point model edge. Market movement is being monitored.
Spread: +1 / fair 0Total: +44.5 / fair +52.5Edge: +8
View full Buffalo @ Houston analysis →3
Over 44.5
7-point model edge. Market movement: 2.5 points away from the model position.
Spread: -4.5 / fair -5Total: +44.5 / fair +51.5Edge: +7
View full Washington @ Philadelphia analysis →4
CLE +8.5
4.5-point model edge. Market movement: 1.0 points away from the model position.
Spread: -8.5 / fair -4Total: +40.5 / fair +41Edge: +4.5
View full Cleveland @ Jacksonville analysis →5
Over 41.5
4-point model edge. Market movement is being monitored.
Spread: -3.5 / fair -3.5Total: +41.5 / fair +45.5Edge: +4
View full Atlanta @ Pittsburgh analysis →6
MIA +3.5
4-point model edge. Market movement: 0.5 points away from the model position.
Spread: -3.5 / fair +0.5Total: +40.5 / fair +43Edge: +4
View full Miami @ Las Vegas analysis →7
NYG +3
3.5-point model edge. Market movement: 0.5 points away from the model position.
Spread: +3 / fair -0.5Total: +48.5 / fair +45Edge: +3.5
View full Dallas @ NY Giants analysis →8
Over 46.5
3.5-point model edge. Market movement: 1.0 points toward the model position.
Spread: -1.5 / fair -2Total: +46.5 / fair +50Edge: +3.5
View full Green Bay @ Minnesota analysis →9
Over 39.5
3.5-point model edge. Market movement: 1.0 points toward the model position.
Spread: -1.5 / fair -3Total: +39.5 / fair +43Edge: +3.5
View full NY Jets @ Tennessee analysis →10
Over 44.5
3.5-point model edge. Market movement: 0.5 points away from the model position.
Spread: -3.5 / fair -3.5Total: +44.5 / fair +48Edge: +3.5
View full New England @ Seattle analysis →11
Over 52.5
3-point model edge. Market movement is being monitored.
Spread: -3 / fair -1Total: +52.5 / fair +55.5Edge: +3
View full Detroit @ Buffalo analysis →12
Under 47
3-point model edge. Market movement: 1.5 points away from the model position.
Spread: +3 / fair +1.5Total: +47 / fair +44Edge: +3
View full Chicago @ Carolina analysis →13
Under 50
2.5-point model edge. Market movement: 0.5 points away from the model position.
Spread: -7 / fair -9Total: +50 / fair +47.5Edge: +2.5
View full New Orleans @ Detroit analysis →14
ARI +9.5
2-point model edge. Market movement: 1.0 points toward the model position.
Spread: -9.5 / fair -7.5Total: +47 / fair +47Edge: +2
View full Arizona @ LA Chargers analysis →15
Over 48
2-point model edge. Market movement: 1.5 points away from the model position.
Spread: +3.5 / fair +3.5Total: +48 / fair +50Edge: +2
View full Baltimore @ Indianapolis analysis →16
Under 50.5
2-point model edge. Market movement: 1.0 points toward the model position.
Spread: -3.5 / fair -2Total: +50.5 / fair +48.5Edge: +2
View full Tampa Bay @ Cincinnati analysis →17
Over 48.5
2-point model edge. Market movement is being monitored.
Spread: -3.5 / fair -3.5Total: +48.5 / fair +50.5Edge: +2
View full San Francisco @ LA Rams analysis →